1. MacOS Community: Apple, Inc at the Worldwide Developers Conference has recently announced changes to MacOS Mojave that will be impacting TLOPO's compatibility in the future. Read the latest blog post to see what this means for you.

Screenshots What exactly are the chances of this?

Discussion in 'TLOPO Weapons and Loot' started by Tower, Dec 30, 2016.

  1. Tower

    Tower Buccaneer

    Joined:
    Nov 17, 2016
    Messages:
    40
    Likes Received:
    98
    Had a beta key drop while training in Cursed Caverns. Ten minutes later, Silver Freeze drops. Lol.
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #1
  2. Stormtimbers

    Stormtimbers Pirate Lord

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2014
    Messages:
    2,170
    Likes Received:
    2,061
    The chances of finding a beta key, let's say that 250 people log on to the server that you are on during your playtime, then using the commonly accepted assumption that 1 key drops every hour, 250/3=83, but let's assume that only about 150 of those players were able to get any real playtime in, which makes the odds of getting a key approximately 1/50 for one server.

    However, I don't know the odds of Silver Freeze OUTSIDE of Smasho, but if anyone does know, just multiply that by 1/50.
     
    #2
    Tower and Wesley Davidson like this.
  3. Bort Greasegorb

    Bort Greasegorb Pirate Master

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2013
    Messages:
    989
    Likes Received:
    1,984
    Seems like the Archive is already getting your on track. A few hours after I joined DA in POTCO, a very similar thing happened to me.
     
    #3